Texans at Jaguars Betting Pick: Week 3

At 1:00 ET, it’s a week 3 NFL battle between the Jaguars and Texans at EverBank Stadium. Don’t miss it on FOX as the game takes place on Sunday, September 24th.

Jacksonville comes into this AFC South matchup, as the -9 point home favorite. Keep reading to get my analysis on how this game plays out.


Betting Odds for Jaguars vs. Texans

  • Spread: Texans +9 | Jaguars -9
  • Total: 44.5
  • MoneyLine: Texans +325 | Jaguars -426

Why You Should Bet on the Jaguars

Jacksonville got off to slow start in their loss to the Chiefs, failing to score at all in the first-quarter. Overall, the Jaguars finished with 271 of offense while giving up 399 on defense. Jacksonville’s 8 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 3 point underdogs. Trevor Lawrence did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 22 of 41 passes for 216 yards. Lawrence ended the game with a passer rating of 68.

The Jaguars’ scoring margin thus far is currently at +1. This has contributed to an ATS record of 1-1. With an over/under record of 1-1, the Jaguars come in with an average margin of -9 relative to their over/under lines. Their games have consistently averaged 39 points per game.

The Jaguars come in with an average 20 points per game on offense, which has them 17th in the NFL. With a matchup against the Texans’ offense, the Jaguars defense has allowed an average of 19 points per game so far. They currently are 9th in quarterback hits and are allowing 339.5 yards per contest.

Through their last three games, the Jaguars have a record of 2-1. However, they have only gone 1-2 vs. the spread over this stretch. Their over-under record in these three games was 1-2.

Why You Should Bet on the Texans

The Texans’ 31-20 loss to the Colts is one of their worst margins of defeat in recent history. The Texans’ defense allowed 353 yards of total offense which included 126 yards on the ground and 227 through the air. Offensively, the Texans finished with 389 of total offense. Houston also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 0.5 point favorites. C.J. Stroud threw for 384 yards while completing 63% of his passes and throwing for 384. Stroud threw for two touchdowns.

The Texans have a 0-2 record against the spread this season. So far this season, their average scoring margin is -13.5. Looking at their over/under lines, the Texans have seen an average line of 41.5 points. Their games have averaged 42.5 points per game, resulting in an over/under record of 1-1.

On the offensive side of the ball, the Texans currently hold an average of 14.5 points per game, which places them at 23rd in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, the Texans give up an average of 191.0 passing yards and 118.0 rushing yards per game. Looking at their sack numbers, Houston is currently ranked 7th in the league. So far, they are giving up 28 points per game and 309.0 yards.

Across Houston’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. Against the spread, Houston went 1-2 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 2-1.

Final Prediction & Where To Bet

Jacksonville started as 7.0 point favorites at home, and the lines have since moved in their favor to -9.

Even though the Jaguars picked up a win in their previous game, they got off to a slow start on offense. Despite being favored vs. the Texans, I like the Texans to cover the spread (+9).

  • BetByState Expert Pick: Texans +9

Where to Bet This Game

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