Giants at 49ers Betting Pick: Week 3

At 8:15 ET, the Giants and 49ers meet up at Levi’s Stadium for a week 3 NFL matchup. The action will be broadcast on AMAZON, and it’s all happening on Thursday, September 21st.

In a matchup between two NFC teams, the 49ers are 10 point favorites at home. Are they they best bet on the spread? Check out my breakdown and analysis of this matchup below.

Contents

Betting Odds for 49ers vs. Giants

Spread: Giants +10 | 49ers -10
Total: 45
MoneyLine: Giants +405 | 49ers -567

Why You Should Bet on the 49ers

After taking an early four-point first quarter lead, the 49ers went on to beat the Rams by a score of 30-23. For the game, averaged 6 yards per play leading to a total of 365 yards of offense. Defensively, they allowed 89 yards rushing and 8.7 yards per completion. Going into the game, San Francisco was favored by 7, resulting in an ATS push for both teams. Even though Brock Purdy did not throw for a touchdown, he ran for one score and threw for 206 yards on 25 attempts.

The 49ers’ scoring margin thus far is currently at +15. This has contributed to an ATS record of 1-0-1. This season, the average over/under line for games involving San Francisco is 43.2 points. They currently hold an over/under record of 1-1, and their average margin against the over/under is +1.8.

Offensively, the 49ers have an average of 30 points per game, which is 3rd in the NFL. With a matchup against the Giants’ offense, the 49ers defense has allowed an average of 15 points per game so far. They currently are 5th in quarterback hits and are allowing 312.5 yards per contest.

Over their last three games, the 49ers have gone 3-0 straight up. In terms of betting, the team went 3-0 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 2-1.

Why You Should Bet on the Giants

In the Giants’ 31-28 win over the Cardinals, the Giants’ offense finished with 439 yards of offense compared to the Cardinals’ 379. The Giants went 7/12 on 3rd down, while the Cardinals converted on 58.3% of their 3rd down attempts. Even though New York won straight-up, they did not cover the spread as 4.5 point favorites. Quarterback Saquon Barkley had a big game, throwing for 321 yards on a passer rating of 103. Jones completed 70% of 37 attempts in the game.

Taking a look at the Giants’ scoring margin this season season, it is currently at -18.5. This has resulted in an ATS record of 0-2. So far this season, New York games are 9th in total points. They come in with an over/under record of 1-1, with an average over/under line for their games set at 42 points.

The New York offense is currently positioned 22nd in the league, scoring an average of 15.5 points per contest. Going up against the 49ers’ offense, the Giants defense has allowed an average of 34 points per game. So far this season, they are 10th in quarterback hits and have yielded an average of 322.0 yards per contest.

Through their last three regular season contests, New York has a record of 1-2. In these contests, the team went just 0-3 against the spread, while going 1-2 on the over-under.

Final Prediction & Where To Bet

From the time the lines were first established, San Francisco has shifted from -9.5 point favorites to their present line of -10 (-112). Meanwhile, New York is currently +10 (-110) point underdogs on the road.

A key matchup to watch in this game is the Giants’ offense vs. the 49ers’ defense. Our projections have the Giants building on their most recent 439 yard performance on offense and putting together another big game vs. San Francisco. I like the Giants at +10.

BetByState Expert Pick: Giants +10

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